Atalanta vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
NAP
3 - 0
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1942 |
ATL
3 - 0
MOD
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
LIV
3 - 1
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
INT
0 - 0
ATL
79%
13%
9%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1942 |
ATL
3 - 0
LAZ
46%
22%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
BOL
3 - 1
ACM
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1942 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1942 |
VNZ
2 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 0
JUV
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |