Europa League Last 16
Global 4-2
Atalanta vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ROM
1 - 0
ATL
37%
24%
39%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAM
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
OLP
0 - 3
ATL
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
ATL
29%
23%
48%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
OLP
77%
14%
9%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BYM
1 - 1
LEV
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
LEV
3 - 0
ARB
70%
18%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
M05
3 - 2
LEV
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LEV
4 - 2
STU
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 5
LEV
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | +1 |