Atalanta vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
PAL
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PES
0 - 0
ATL
20%
27%
53%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 0
TOR
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
ASC
2 - 1
AVE
57%
23%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ASC
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 0
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |