Atalanta vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
18%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1984 |
TRI
1 - 2
ATL
58%
26%
16%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
ATL
5 - 2
PRG
52%
30%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
ATL
3 - 0
ASS
52%
30%
19%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATL
45%
32%
23%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
PIS
1 - 1
ATL
50%
31%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
PAD
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1984 |
PAL
2 - 1
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 0
PES
53%
27%
19%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
LEC
4 - 0
VAR
49%
30%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |