Atalanta vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
13%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2011 |
ABN
2 - 3
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
POR
73%
19%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
LIV
2 - 1
ATL
33%
28%
39%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 2
ATL
28%
29%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
EMP
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
51%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 2
CTT
32%
29%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CTT
1 - 1
MOD
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
PIA
0 - 2
CTT
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 4
ABN
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -2 |