Atalanta vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATL
31%
29%
41%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
GEN
2 - 1
ATL
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 1
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BAR
2 - 1
USF
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
29%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
BAR
3 - 0
SSS
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
TRI
2 - 1
BAR
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1963 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |