Atalanta vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
20.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ATL
62%
19%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ATL
0 - 1
TOR
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ROM
1 - 0
ATL
64%
18%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
ATL
2 - 0
TRI
49%
23%
29%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOR
28%
24%
47%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ROM
6 - 2
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
BAR
0 - 3
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 0
BAR
56%
21%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
BAR
0 - 0
INT
27%
25%
49%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |