Atalanta vs Alzano Virescit analysis


74	ELO	46
-11.8%	Tilt	-28.9%
7º	General ELO ranking	30390º
3º	Country ELO ranking	1042º
ELO win probability

82.3%

Atalanta

12.7%

Draw

5%

Alzano Virescit

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

82.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%

12.7%

Draw

0-0

4.8%

1-1

5.9%

2-2

1.8%

3-3

0.2%

4-4

<0%

0

12.7%

5%

Win probability

0.48

Expected goals

0-1

2.3%

1-2

1.4%

2-3

0.3%

3-4

0%

-1

4%

0-2

0.5%

1-3

0.2%

2-4

0%

-2

0.8%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.1%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

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ELO progression

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Matches