Atalanta vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 1
ATL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 0
TOR
54%
24%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
FIO
2 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
7%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAM
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 5
BOL
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
ROM
4 - 2
MAN
80%
12%
8%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
FIO
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 0
VNZ
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
TOR
2 - 1
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |