Atalanta vs AC Legnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ACM
3 - 3
ATL
84%
10%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
NOV
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
45%
25%
31%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ROM
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
NAP
6 - 3
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AC Legnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
JUV
24%
22%
53%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SAM
3 - 1
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 3
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
INT
28%
23%
48%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
PAL
3 - 3
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |