Atalanta vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
FCS
1 - 2
ATL
12%
26%
62%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
ATL
4 - 0
FER
90%
8%
2%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
ALZ
0 - 0
ATL
16%
27%
57%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ATL
1 - 1
EMP
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATL
32%
29%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
CES
3 - 3
COS
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
VIC
3 - 2
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CES
2 - 2
NAP
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 1
CES
39%
30%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |