Atalanta vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
30.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
FCC
0 - 3
ATL
58%
28%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAV
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAG
1 - 0
ATL
69%
22%
9%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CES
3 - 1
ASS
67%
22%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
PES
2 - 1
CES
31%
32%
37%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
AVE
1 - 1
CES
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 0
CES
38%
31%
31%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |