Atalanta Sub 19 vs Perugia Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ATA
3 - 3
TOR
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
NAP
3 - 4
ATA
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ATA
3 - 1
CHI
75%
15%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 5
ATA
36%
24%
41%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
ATA
6 - 1
MIL
65%
19%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Perugia Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 1
PER
41%
23%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PER
1 - 4
PES
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PER
50%
23%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
PER
2 - 3
LEC
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
FOG
1 - 0
PER
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |