Atalanta U18 vs Bologna U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
11º
2º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 2
MIL
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 0
HEL
60%
19%
22%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
FRO
0 - 7
ATA
9%
14%
76%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
CAG
65%
18%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 1
EMP
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
BOL
38%
23%
40%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 3
BOL
36%
21%
44%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
FRO
88%
9%
4%
|
30 | 7 | 23 | 0 |