Atalanta U18 vs Bologna U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
30.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
2º
11º
2º
46
1º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
3 - 2
MIL
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2023 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATA
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 0
HEL
60%
19%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
FRO
0 - 7
ATA
9%
14%
76%
|
29 | 8 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATA
2 - 2
CAG
65%
18%
18%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
0 - 1
EMP
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
BOL
38%
23%
40%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
LEC
64%
18%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
HEL
0 - 3
BOL
36%
21%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 0
FRO
88%
9%
4%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |