Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-3
At. Sanluqueño vs Las Palmas At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
46%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LPA
3 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAX
54%
24%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
NAX
0 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UDR
0 - 0
SAN
16%
22%
62%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAB
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LPA
3 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
LPA
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LPA
1 - 0
RAC
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
LPA
3 - 3
MAR
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CDT
3 - 2
LPA
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |