At. Sanluqueño vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CIS
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 5
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
ARC
69%
19%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
LUC
28%
26%
47%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
ALC
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
SAN
16%
23%
62%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 1
ALC
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ALC
2 - 0
SEV
45%
26%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |