Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-5
Atlético B vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ATB
0 - 0
CDT
57%
24%
20%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
OVI
1 - 0
ATB
50%
29%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
ATB
1 - 0
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
RMC
0 - 1
ATB
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
RMC
2 - 1
ATB
65%
22%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
ATH
1 - 3
RAY
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
RAY
1 - 1
LOG
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
MLL
1 - 0
RAY
61%
24%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
RAY
1 - 0
SSC
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1985 |
RAY
3 - 1
GUA
82%
12%
7%
|
58 | 32 | 26 | 0 |