Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 7-3
Atlético B vs Iliturgi CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
ATB
3 - 3
MER
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
ILI
1 - 0
ATB
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
VAL
3 - 3
ATB
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
ATB
2 - 0
ALC
65%
19%
16%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
ATB
3 - 2
ILI
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1969 |
CAL
8 - 1
ILI
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1969 |
ILI
1 - 0
ATB
34%
25%
41%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 1969 |
ILI
0 - 4
MAN
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
LIN
1 - 0
ILI
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1969 |
ATB
3 - 2
ILI
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |