Atlético B vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
TAL
1 - 3
ATB
28%
30%
42%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ATB
2 - 0
CUL
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
MIR
0 - 1
ATB
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SSR
2 - 1
ATB
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ATB
2 - 0
ZAM
49%
26%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CDT
0 - 2
ZAM
39%
27%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COM
2 - 0
CDT
58%
25%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CDT
2 - 0
FUE
50%
26%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ZAR
0 - 2
CDT
52%
27%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
5 - 1
TOM
66%
22%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |