Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 4-3
Atlético B vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.1%
7.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
ALA
4 - 1
ATB
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
ATB
1 - 0
BAR
60%
23%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
GRA
1 - 0
ATB
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
ATB
3 - 0
PAL
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
RMC
1 - 1
ATB
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1980 |
ADP
1 - 1
SFN
58%
23%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SFN
3 - 2
CIE
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
UBC
2 - 2
SFN
48%
27%
26%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
SFN
1 - 1
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
CDB
3 - 2
SFN
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |