Atlético B vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ALC
0 - 2
ATB
33%
25%
42%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 0
ATB
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 1
ALC
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
RVB
1 - 1
ATB
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATB
2 - 0
CVI
88%
9%
2%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 2
ALC
34%
26%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RVB
0 - 1
ARA
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
CVI
90%
8%
2%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SSR
3 - 0
ARA
74%
18%
8%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
ADA
36%
27%
38%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |