Copa del Rey 1/512
Global 5-1
Atlético B vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
ATB
6 - 1
EXT
88%
9%
3%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
TAL
4 - 1
ATB
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
ATB
3 - 1
CDT
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +4 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
ATB
3 - 2
COL
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
VIL
0 - 0
ATB
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1969 |
AYA
1 - 1
ALG
39%
27%
34%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1969 |
ALG
2 - 2
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1969 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALG
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
BET
1 - 0
ALG
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
ALG
0 - 0
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |