Callosa vs Agost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
47.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-89%
+569%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Callosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
CUI
3 - 0
CAL
47%
20%
33%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 5
RAC
12%
16%
72%
|
5 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ALF
3 - 1
CAL
83%
11%
5%
|
5 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 8
BFL
5%
11%
85%
|
5 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
AEY
4 - 0
CAL
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Agost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
AGO
1 - 2
ALC
19%
20%
61%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
AGO
83%
11%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
3 - 1
AGO
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AGO
3 - 1
CUI
63%
17%
20%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
6 - 2
AGO
80%
12%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |