Atlético Albericia vs Sámano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
5º
7º
5º
40
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Albericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALB
21%
22%
57%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALB
0 - 0
SDT
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAY
1 - 2
ALB
62%
21%
18%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALB
4 - 2
GAM
75%
16%
9%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 2
ALB
47%
23%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sámano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 0
SDT
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 1
SAM
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 0
TEX
71%
18%
12%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ESC
0 - 5
SAM
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 1
TRO
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |