Atlético Albericia vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Albericia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GIM
4 - 1
ALB
84%
12%
5%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
RAY
3 - 1
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 1
RAC
21%
25%
54%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
COL
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SEL
0 - 0
ALB
45%
27%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
RAC
21%
26%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
CAS
21%
25%
54%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
SEL
53%
25%
23%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
BEZ
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAS
56%
24%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |