ASWH vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ASW
1 - 3
HOE
75%
16%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
ASW
3 - 2
ALM
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 1
ASW
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
ASW
4 - 1
CAP
68%
19%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
RIJ
1 - 2
ASW
19%
22%
59%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
BLA
3 - 2
SPA
46%
23%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ADO
1 - 1
SPA
51%
22%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
RIJ
30%
23%
48%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2017 |
RIJ
2 - 1
SPA
70%
16%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SPA
4 - 2
USV
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |