ASWH vs Rijnvogels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
HUI
0 - 3
ASW
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ASW
2 - 5
VVO
75%
15%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
SPA
2 - 3
ASW
36%
23%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 3
ASW
19%
21%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ASW
3 - 0
RIJ
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rijnvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RIJ
4 - 1
STE
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 0
RIJ
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RIJ
1 - 2
LIS
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
QUI
1 - 2
RIJ
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
RIJ
3 - 1
ONS
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +3 |