ASWH vs Harkemase Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
32.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASWH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
ASW
2 - 0
HUI
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VVO
1 - 1
ASW
35%
24%
40%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ASW
1 - 1
STE
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ODI
1 - 2
ASW
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DVS
1 - 0
ASW
47%
22%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Harkemase Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
HAR
3 - 1
ODI
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
RIJ
2 - 1
HAR
58%
20%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
QUI
1 - 1
HAR
43%
24%
33%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 2
GRO
73%
16%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LIS
0 - 3
HAR
52%
22%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +2 |