Siegendorf vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
3º
13º
8º
13
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
13 | 60 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 48 |
2º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 48 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 47 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 46 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 44 |
6º
|
7.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 44 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 43 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 42 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
1º
|
13 | 39 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 38 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
8.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 33 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 27 |
15º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 25 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 57.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 42.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 1
ASV
50%
22%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCW
2 - 6
ASV
45%
22%
33%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 5
FCM
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 5
SKA
5%
11%
85%
|
47 | 81 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FAV
1 - 1
ASV
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DON
2 - 2
MAU
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
DON
2 - 1
ELE
67%
18%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
DON
38%
24%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DON
3 - 0
AUS
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
OBE
3 - 1
DON
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | -1 |