Schrems vs St. Pölten II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
10º
2º
35
5º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ZWE
2 - 1
ASV
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
STP
69%
17%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WIE
2 - 4
ASV
63%
18%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 0
SVH
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SCU
0 - 1
ASV
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
St. Pölten II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
STP
4 - 1
LAN
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SVG
2 - 1
STP
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 71 | 48 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
STP
0 - 3
MKO
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 1
STP
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
STP
1 - 3
KOT
36%
24%
41%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |