ASV Pegnitz vs Bayreuth II SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Pegnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ASP
2 - 4
TUR
47%
22%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASP
4 - 3
NEU
24%
22%
54%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
TSB
3 - 1
ASP
75%
15%
10%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 2
ATS
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SCS
3 - 0
ASP
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth II SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BSV
1 - 2
ERB
27%
22%
52%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FSB
0 - 3
BSV
49%
22%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
BSV
1 - 0
SKA
41%
22%
37%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ASV
3 - 0
BSV
77%
15%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BSV
1 - 3
QUF
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | -1 |