ASV Pegnitz vs ATSV Erlangen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
71%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Pegnitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SCS
3 - 0
ASP
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ASP
1 - 0
SVM
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BAI
1 - 0
ASP
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ERB
5 - 2
ASP
51%
22%
28%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ASP
3 - 2
FSB
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ATSV Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ATS
1 - 2
ERB
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FSB
0 - 6
ATS
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ATS
4 - 1
SKA
88%
8%
3%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ASV
0 - 0
ATS
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ATS
6 - 1
QUF
50%
21%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |