ASV Mettmann vs Bayer Dormagen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Mettmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SSV
1 - 1
ASM
59%
20%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
0 - 5
VEL
20%
20%
60%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
2 - 1
RAT
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VFL
1 - 5
ASM
53%
21%
26%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
ASM
1 - 0
SPV
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Bayer Dormagen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BDO
1 - 4
VFL
16%
18%
67%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SPV
2 - 4
BDO
92%
6%
2%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BDO
0 - 3
VOH
6%
13%
81%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
VSA
3 - 2
BDO
86%
10%
4%
|
6 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BDO
0 - 3
NIE
5%
11%
84%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | -1 |