ASV Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
14º
11º
12
7º
18º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 68 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 64 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 52 |
7º
|
5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 48 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 44 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 43 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 39 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 39 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 27 |
17º
|
42.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 13 |
18º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
69.5% | 86% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
30% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Cham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WIL
0 - 0
ASV
78%
15%
7%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
0 - 2
FCL
6%
13%
81%
|
42 | 81 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
5 - 0
ASV
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
NUR
4 - 2
ASV
78%
14%
8%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 2
ING
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
REG
1 - 0
ELT
28%
23%
49%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 4
REG
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
REG
1 - 0
WUR
72%
15%
13%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
HAH
2 - 1
REG
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
REG
3 - 2
JRE
38%
21%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |