ASV 13 vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
60.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
15º
16º
16º
35
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV 13
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
STA
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 3
DON
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 2
ASV
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ASV
2 - 4
WIE
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 1
ASV
46%
22%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
AUS
1 - 1
SCH
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SVH
3 - 0
AUS
70%
17%
14%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 6
AUS
22%
21%
57%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 0
FCW
40%
22%
38%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 1
AUS
23%
20%
57%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |