Astur vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
18%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NAL
1 - 2
AST
32%
26%
42%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
AST
2 - 1
BER
64%
21%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 3
AST
28%
26%
47%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 3
AST
32%
26%
42%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
AST
2 - 1
TUR
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 0
CON
27%
24%
49%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
4 - 0
ENA
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VCD
2 - 0
UCO
60%
22%
18%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
UCO
0 - 3
AST
32%
26%
42%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TUR
2 - 1
UCO
24%
23%
53%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |