Astur vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TIN
0 - 3
AST
34%
26%
41%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
AST
1 - 1
LLA
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
AST
1 - 1
AST
36%
25%
39%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AST
2 - 0
CAN
50%
23%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
COL
1 - 3
AST
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
UCO
0 - 1
AVI
42%
23%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
0 - 2
UCO
21%
23%
57%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UCO
1 - 4
RTI
52%
24%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CLA
4 - 1
UCO
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
UCO
2 - 1
GUI
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |