Astur vs Real Sporting C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
42.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
AST
19%
24%
58%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AST
1 - 0
CAN
57%
22%
20%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FRE
1 - 1
AST
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VCD
2 - 2
AST
31%
27%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
AST
8 - 1
COL
84%
12%
4%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
VAL
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AND
0 - 2
REA
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LUA
0 - 3
REA
31%
23%
47%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
REA
5 - 0
AND
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
FRE
2 - 4
REA
26%
23%
51%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |