Astur vs Real Sporting C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
AST
3 - 2
AST
25%
25%
50%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 0
AST
24%
26%
51%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
AST
1 - 1
NAV
57%
23%
21%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
AST
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
REA
4 - 0
ROC
52%
22%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
REA
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
REA
1 - 0
SIE
54%
21%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
BER
0 - 1
REA
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
REA
3 - 0
LLA
42%
23%
35%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |