Astur vs CD Mosconia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ROB
4 - 2
AST
80%
14%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
ROC
60%
23%
18%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 1
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COV
0 - 2
AST
78%
14%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
MAR
13%
23%
65%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
CD Mosconia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MOS
0 - 3
MAR
17%
25%
59%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
URR
0 - 0
MOS
64%
20%
16%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 2
CON
19%
25%
56%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
TIN
3 - 1
MOS
56%
23%
21%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
MOS
50%
24%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |