Astur vs Madalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
SIE
1 - 4
AST
33%
25%
42%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AST
0 - 2
VAL
68%
19%
13%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RIB
2 - 1
AST
15%
24%
61%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AST
2 - 0
UCO
61%
21%
18%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NAL
1 - 2
AST
32%
26%
42%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
MAD
2 - 2
ENA
64%
19%
17%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VCD
1 - 1
MAD
64%
21%
15%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
3 - 4
CON
28%
24%
48%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAD
2 - 2
COL
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SIE
2 - 3
MAD
64%
19%
17%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |