Astur vs Madalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAL
0 - 0
AST
27%
25%
48%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AST
1 - 1
MAD
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
UCO
0 - 0
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
AST
0 - 0
TIN
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LLA
0 - 2
AST
29%
25%
46%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAD
2 - 2
TUR
61%
20%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AST
1 - 1
MAD
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAD
0 - 0
AVI
15%
21%
64%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 0
MAD
66%
20%
14%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAD
1 - 1
RTI
15%
22%
62%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | +1 |