Astur vs TSK Roces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GIN
1 - 1
AST
48%
25%
27%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
COV
0 - 2
AST
78%
14%
7%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AST
1 - 0
MAR
13%
23%
65%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
URR
3 - 1
AST
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
CON
15%
23%
62%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
TSK Roces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
MAR
17%
25%
58%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
URR
1 - 1
ROC
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
TIN
1 - 0
ROC
69%
19%
12%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
0 - 2
CON
18%
25%
58%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
ROC
64%
22%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |