Astur vs Marino de Luanco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
64.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
URR
3 - 1
AST
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
CON
15%
23%
62%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
AST
72%
18%
10%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 5
UPL
7%
17%
76%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TIN
5 - 0
AST
66%
20%
15%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Marino de Luanco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COV
1 - 0
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
URR
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 0
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UPL
2 - 0
MAR
64%
23%
14%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |