Astur vs Barcia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GIN
1 - 1
AST
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AST
2 - 2
LLA
40%
26%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 2
AST
61%
23%
16%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
AST
0 - 4
LEN
41%
27%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VCD
2 - 0
AST
36%
27%
38%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barcia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 0
LDV
86%
10%
4%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
URR
0 - 1
BAR
59%
23%
18%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BAR
0 - 0
COL
72%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 3
BAR
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 5
CAN
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |