North York Astros vs Niagara United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North York Astros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AST
4 - 1
WAT
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AST
1 - 1
SHO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AST
1 - 3
TCR
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
AST
1 - 0
BRA
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
TCR
1 - 0
AST
58%
23%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Niagara United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SER
6 - 3
NIA
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
BUR
4 - 2
NIA
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BRA
3 - 0
NIA
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
NIA
0 - 4
SHO
18%
25%
57%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
NIA
2 - 6
WAT
25%
23%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |