Astrio vs Varbergs GIF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
3º
3º
38
2º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
47.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
89.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 29 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
HIT
1 - 1
AST
15%
18%
67%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AST
2 - 0
OBK
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
LAH
0 - 1
AST
6%
12%
82%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
HFF
46%
25%
30%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ANG
2 - 3
AST
54%
22%
25%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varbergs GIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
IKT
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TIF
3 - 2
VAR
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
LIS
0 - 1
VAR
34%
22%
45%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 2
HIT
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
AST
0 - 2
VAR
70%
17%
14%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |