Division 1 Promotion Playoffs Final
Global 2-4
Astrio vs Ariana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
AST
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AST
3 - 2
KRI
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
HIT
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OCK
2 - 4
AST
16%
18%
67%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AST
5 - 1
FRO
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
JON
30%
24%
47%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 2
AFC
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 0
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 0
AFC
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OLY
3 - 0
AFC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |