Astrea vs Castiadas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
RIE
5 - 0
AST
81%
14%
5%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AST
1 - 2
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LAN
3 - 0
AST
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
AST
0 - 3
BUD
28%
25%
47%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
GRO
4 - 2
AST
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
OST
32%
24%
45%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BUD
4 - 0
CAS
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
VIT
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
CAS
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
CYN
31%
23%
46%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |