Astrea vs Nuorese Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
58.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIT
5 - 0
AST
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 0
AST
75%
17%
8%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
AST
0 - 3
CYN
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
AST
58%
23%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AST
2 - 0
MUR
42%
23%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nuorese Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 1
TRA
50%
23%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 0
FLA
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
NUO
12%
18%
71%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NUO
1 - 3
SAS
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BUD
0 - 2
NUO
36%
23%
41%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |